Publication type: Article in scientific journal
Type of review: Peer review (publication)
Title: A statistical risk assessment of bitcoin and its extreme tail behaviour
Authors: Osterrieder, Jörg
Lorenz, Julian
DOI: 10.1142/S2010495217500038
Published in: Annals of Financial Economics
Volume(Issue): 12
Issue: 1
Issue Date: 2017
Publisher / Ed. Institution: World Scientific Publishing
ISSN: 2010-4952
2010-4960
Language: English
Subjects: Risk; Extreme; Currencies; Bitcoin
Subject (DDC): 332.6: Investment
Abstract: We provide an extreme value analysis of the returns of Bitcoin. A particular focus is on the tail risk characteristics and we will provide an in-depth univariate extreme value analysis. Those properties will be compared to the traditional exchange rates of the G10 currencies versus the US dollar. For investors - especially institutional ones - an understanding of the risk characteristics is of utmost importance. So for bitcoin to become a mainstream investable asset class, studying these properties is necessary. Our findings show that the bitcoin return distribution not only exhibits higher volatility than traditional G10 currencies, but also stronger non-normal characteristics and heavier tails. This has implications for risk management, financial engineering (such as bitcoin derivatives) - both from an investor's as well as from a regulator's point of view. To our knowledge, this is the first detailed study looking at the extreme value behaviour of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin.
URI: https://digitalcollection.zhaw.ch/handle/11475/15945
Fulltext version: Published version
License (according to publishing contract): Licence according to publishing contract
Departement: School of Engineering
Organisational Unit: Institute of Data Analysis and Process Design (IDP)
Appears in collections:Publikationen School of Engineering

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Osterrieder, J., & Lorenz, J. (2017). A statistical risk assessment of bitcoin and its extreme tail behaviour. Annals of Financial Economics, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010495217500038
Osterrieder, J. and Lorenz, J. (2017) ‘A statistical risk assessment of bitcoin and its extreme tail behaviour’, Annals of Financial Economics, 12(1). Available at: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010495217500038.
J. Osterrieder and J. Lorenz, “A statistical risk assessment of bitcoin and its extreme tail behaviour,” Annals of Financial Economics, vol. 12, no. 1, 2017, doi: 10.1142/S2010495217500038.
OSTERRIEDER, Jörg und Julian LORENZ, 2017. A statistical risk assessment of bitcoin and its extreme tail behaviour. Annals of Financial Economics. 2017. Bd. 12, Nr. 1. DOI 10.1142/S2010495217500038
Osterrieder, Jörg, and Julian Lorenz. 2017. “A Statistical Risk Assessment of Bitcoin and Its Extreme Tail Behaviour.” Annals of Financial Economics 12 (1). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010495217500038.
Osterrieder, Jörg, and Julian Lorenz. “A Statistical Risk Assessment of Bitcoin and Its Extreme Tail Behaviour.” Annals of Financial Economics, vol. 12, no. 1, 2017, https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010495217500038.


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