Publication type: Article in scientific journal
Type of review: Peer review (publication)
Title: Prediction of shoulder stiffness after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair
Authors: Audigé, Laurent
Aghlmandi, Soheila
Grobet, Cécile
Stojanov, Thomas
Müller, Andreas M.
Felsch, Quinten
Gleich, Johannes
Flury, Matthias
Scheibel, Markus
et. al: No
DOI: 10.1177/03635465211028980
Published in: The American Journal of Sports Medicine
Volume(Issue): 49
Issue: 11
Page(s): 3030
Pages to: 3039
Issue Date: 2021
Publisher / Ed. Institution: Sage
ISSN: 0363-5465
1552-3365
Language: English
Subjects: Capsulitis; Arthroscopy; Case-Control study; Retrospective study; Rotator cuff tear; Surgery; Complication; Shoulder stiffness; Frozen shoulder; Risk factor; Prediction; Discrimination; Registry Database
Subject (DDC): 617.5: Orthopaedic surgery
Abstract: Background: Postoperative shoulder stiffness (POSS) is a prevalent adverse event after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (ARCR) that is associated with major limitations in everyday activities and prolonged rehabilitation. Purpose/Hypothesis: The purpose was to develop a predictive model for determining the risk of POSS within 6 months after primary ARCR. We hypothesized that sufficient discrimination ability of such a model could be achieved using a local institutional database. Study Design: Case-control study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: Consecutive primary ARCRs documented in a local clinical registry between 2013 and 2017 were included, and patients who experienced POSS before the final clinical 6-month follow-up were identified. A total of 29 prognostic factor candidates were considered, including patient-related factors (n = 7), disease-related factors (n = 9), rotator cuff integrity factors (n = 6), and operative details (n = 7). We used imputed data for the primary analysis, and a sensitivity analysis was conducted using complete case data. Logistic regression was applied to develop a model based on clinical relevance and statistical criteria. To avoid overfitting in the multivariable model, highly correlated predictors were not included together in any model. A final prognostic model with a maximum of 8 prognostic factors was considered. The model’s predictive accuracy was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Internal validation was performed using bootstrapping. Results: Of 1330 ARCR cases (N = 1330 patients), 112 (8.4%) patients had POSS. Our final model had a moderate predictive ability with an AUC of 0.67. The predicted risks of POSS ranged from 2.3% to 38.9% and were significantly higher in women; patients with partial tears, low baseline passive shoulder abduction, and lack of tendon degeneration; and when no acromioplasty was performed. Conclusion: A prognostic model for POSS was developed for patients with ARCR, offering a personalized risk evaluation to support the future decision process for surgery and rehabilitation.
URI: https://digitalcollection.zhaw.ch/handle/11475/24239
Fulltext version: Published version
License (according to publishing contract): Licence according to publishing contract
Departement: School of Management and Law
Organisational Unit: Winterthur Institute of Health Economics (WIG)
Appears in collections:Publikationen School of Management and Law

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Audigé, L., Aghlmandi, S., Grobet, C., Stojanov, T., Müller, A. M., Felsch, Q., Gleich, J., Flury, M., & Scheibel, M. (2021). Prediction of shoulder stiffness after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. The American Journal of Sports Medicine, 49(11), 3030–3039. https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465211028980
Audigé, L. et al. (2021) ‘Prediction of shoulder stiffness after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair’, The American Journal of Sports Medicine, 49(11), pp. 3030–3039. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465211028980.
L. Audigé et al., “Prediction of shoulder stiffness after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair,” The American Journal of Sports Medicine, vol. 49, no. 11, pp. 3030–3039, 2021, doi: 10.1177/03635465211028980.
AUDIGÉ, Laurent, Soheila AGHLMANDI, Cécile GROBET, Thomas STOJANOV, Andreas M. MÜLLER, Quinten FELSCH, Johannes GLEICH, Matthias FLURY und Markus SCHEIBEL, 2021. Prediction of shoulder stiffness after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. The American Journal of Sports Medicine. 2021. Bd. 49, Nr. 11, S. 3030–3039. DOI 10.1177/03635465211028980
Audigé, Laurent, Soheila Aghlmandi, Cécile Grobet, Thomas Stojanov, Andreas M. Müller, Quinten Felsch, Johannes Gleich, Matthias Flury, and Markus Scheibel. 2021. “Prediction of Shoulder Stiffness after Arthroscopic Rotator Cuff Repair.” The American Journal of Sports Medicine 49 (11): 3030–39. https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465211028980.
Audigé, Laurent, et al. “Prediction of Shoulder Stiffness after Arthroscopic Rotator Cuff Repair.” The American Journal of Sports Medicine, vol. 49, no. 11, 2021, pp. 3030–39, https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465211028980.


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