Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://doi.org/10.21256/zhaw-30079
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dc.contributor.authorBoos, Dominik-
dc.date.accessioned2024-03-01T09:27:37Z-
dc.date.available2024-03-01T09:27:37Z-
dc.date.issued2024-02-18-
dc.identifier.issn0270-7314de_CH
dc.identifier.issn1096-9934de_CH
dc.identifier.urihttps://digitalcollection.zhaw.ch/handle/11475/30079-
dc.description.abstractThe seasonal risk of wheat, corn, and soybean is modeled by a novel seasonality filter based on a generalized ridge regression. Then, using a component GARCH model, seasonal risk is combined with event risk and a short-term risk dynamics. The resulting model is robust, generates seasonal patterns related to the crop cycle, and significantly outperforms the standard GARCH(1,1) in terms of out-of-sample risk prediction. Results are relevant for risk management and portfolio construction.de_CH
dc.language.isoende_CH
dc.publisherWileyde_CH
dc.relation.ispartofThe Journal of Futures Marketsde_CH
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/de_CH
dc.subjectARCHde_CH
dc.subjectCommodityde_CH
dc.subjectEvent riskde_CH
dc.subjectRidge regressionde_CH
dc.subjectSeasonalityde_CH
dc.subject.ddc338: Produktionde_CH
dc.titleRisky times : seasonality and event risk of commoditiesde_CH
dc.typeBeitrag in wissenschaftlicher Zeitschriftde_CH
dcterms.typeTextde_CH
zhaw.departementSchool of Management and Lawde_CH
zhaw.organisationalunitInstitut für Wealth & Asset Management (IWA)de_CH
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/fut.22492de_CH
dc.identifier.doi10.21256/zhaw-30079-
zhaw.funding.euNode_CH
zhaw.originated.zhawYesde_CH
zhaw.publication.statuspublishedVersionde_CH
zhaw.publication.reviewPeer review (Publikation)de_CH
zhaw.webfeedW: Spitzenpublikationde_CH
zhaw.author.additionalNode_CH
zhaw.display.portraitYesde_CH
Appears in collections:Publikationen School of Management and Law

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Boos, D. (2024). Risky times : seasonality and event risk of commodities. The Journal of Futures Markets. https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22492
Boos, D. (2024) ‘Risky times : seasonality and event risk of commodities’, The Journal of Futures Markets [Preprint]. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22492.
D. Boos, “Risky times : seasonality and event risk of commodities,” The Journal of Futures Markets, Feb. 2024, doi: 10.1002/fut.22492.
BOOS, Dominik, 2024. Risky times : seasonality and event risk of commodities. The Journal of Futures Markets. 18 Februar 2024. DOI 10.1002/fut.22492
Boos, Dominik. 2024. “Risky Times : Seasonality and Event Risk of Commodities.” The Journal of Futures Markets, February. https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22492.
Boos, Dominik. “Risky Times : Seasonality and Event Risk of Commodities.” The Journal of Futures Markets, Feb. 2024, https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22492.


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